Showing posts with label russia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label russia. Show all posts

Saturday, 19 March 2011

UN enters into the fight for Libya

Muammar Gaddafi air forces strike anti government rebels
Image source: AFP and The Australian 
Within hours of the passing of a UN resolution authorising military action against Muammar Gaddafi's forces, western nations are preparing air strikes against the despotic Libyan dictator. The UN has authorised military action to prevent Gaddafi's forces from completely crushing civilian led rebel opposition, which only weeks ago, looked ready to topple the Gaddafi government. So far, Britain, France, the United States, Norway and Qatar are countries that have pledged support to enforce the no-fly zone. The French government has indicated that it will start to militarily intervene within 'hours', and Britain's prime minister, David Cameron, has announced that Tornado and Typhoon jets have been placed ready to take action against Libya. The Arab League of Nations has been calling for weeks for the no-fly zone. But it appears that for once, the UN has answered, and done so quickly. Libya's response has been confusing: Muammar Gaddafi's claimed he'll take Benghazi within hours, his Son has claimed the family will hold Tripoli, and Libya's Foreign, Minister Mussa Kussa has declared a ceasefire. Basically, Libya is in turmoil, and the situation changes by the hour.

Despite the ever changing position of the Libyan government, it has been outstanding how fast the UN has reacted to the situation. While it may have taken weeks for the resolution to come about, when it comes to international co-operation and military intervention, it usually takes several months. But the UN functioned effectively this time, because there was a universal consensus that a no-fly zone was needed. Debate was had, thought it didn't bogged down. No country within the security council voted against the proposal, five only abstained. For P5 countries like Russia and China, the use of their veto power would have decimated the resolution, and most likely dragged out debate on the issue for months. While countries like Germany and Poland have indicated that they won't assist in the efforts to enforce the no-fly zone, their acceptance of the international communities wishes to intervene in this matter has been critical assisting the passing of this resolution.

The UN security council resolution has authorised "all necessary measures" to ensure the safety of the Libyan people. Surprisingly, this resolution is more than just a no-fly zone. A no-fly zone gives the ability for the 'international community" to ensure no aircraft (Libyan or otherwise) to fly above Libyan territory. However the UN has authorised "all necessary measures"except the use of ground forces. This means that missile strikes and aerial attacks on Gaddafi's forces is legal.

However by the UN taking such an aggressive approach towards the Libyan situation, it may in fact, only assist Muammar Gaddafi in rallying civilians to fight against both the 'West', and the rebells. As with most North African and Middle Eastern nations, there is much anti-west sentiment. Governments, like Gaddafi claim that 'the west' is an invading force, corrupting the youth of Libya, destroying their culture, taking over their economy; basically causing anything that is bad within society. To outsiders, it sounds pretty bonkers. And that's because it is. But western nations haven't been perfect in their dealings with Arab and North African nations themselves. The US, despite putting a trade embargo upon weapons trading with Libya, it has happily allowed such trading via proxy through Egypt. The risk of the UN taking such a hardline stance against the Libyan dictator is that it gives something for Muammar Gaddafi to point to as 'evidence' that he was right all along. There is also the danger of causing further oppression to the Libyan people. Airstrikes, no matter how targeted, don't always kill exactly who they're intended to kill. As the civilian death toll rises, more and more Libyans who sat in the middle of the war and was neutral to both sides, will start to side with Gaddafi. Civilians will chose whichever side kills the less, and if that's Gaddafi and his forces, then the UN's efforts will backfire by strengthening the dictators regime.

Though there are also practical difficulties in establishing a no-fly zone in Libya. There is firstly, the complication of the 'cease fire' that  Libya's Foreign Minister, Mussa Kussa has announced. It will have to be seen whether all of Muammar Gaddafi's forces will adhere to this change in policy, or even whether Gaddafi and his family will adhere to it themselves. But secondly, there is the issue in being able to enforce a no-fly zone. Libya's military is highly outdated. They have fighter and bomber jets, but they're old cold war jets that have been made by the US. If they are even sent up into the air, they will be easily shot down. The only circumstance in which they could be used, would be to fight against those enforcing the no-fly zone. And if the Libyan army is successful, it will cause a lot of pain and loss of face for the UN. But Gaddafi has irregularly used these jets thus far, because the Libyan army uses helicopters instead. Fighting rebel groups are easier with helicopters. They're easier to manoeuvre and redirect in small scale warfare, such as taking over certain towns. But US jets aren't good at shooting down helicopters. Fighter jets fly too high and too fast to be able to combat low flying helicopters. So the US and major countries such as France, who will be enforcing this ban, don't have the technological capacity to fight on the Libyan army's level. Solutions will be found to this problem, but it means that combat between the no-fly zone enforces and the Libyan army will most likely be closer, meaning casualties are more likely to be higher than expected on the NATO side.

The UN has responded well to the international communities calls to implement a no-fly zone upon Libya. Muammar Gaddafi must not be able to stop a revolution from occurring by killing his own people. As the head of the Libyan state, he has a duty to protect his people. When he can no longer do so, other states are justified in acting to ensure civilians are kept safe. The UN, significantly encroaching upon Libyan's sovereignty, is rightly doing so when the consequences of not acting is that either a dictator succeeds, or anarchy rules. The situation in Libya is most likely going to get worse before it gets better. But hopefully, this no-fly zone will speed up the revolution that's been waiting to occur, and do so whilst shedding the least amount of blood.

Links: 
Libya announces immediate ceasefire, calls halt to military operations - The Australian
UN clears way for no-fly zone - ABC PM program
France says military action against Libya will come 'within hours' - The Telegraph

Sunday, 17 May 2009

Eurovision 2009 report


Ahh, Eurovision. It is something that you have to see to believe.

When most of the countries in Europe (and there are quite a lot of them) gather together in one big event to sing and dance, you know that it is going to be some event.


This years outstanding performances were...

Ukraine. They went with a 'sex on a stick' style performance, which was similar to Germany's song, though Germany didn't have glitter studded Roman centurions and a drum being pulled across the stage. The choreography and costumes left little to the imagination, that is if you could see the performance beyond the blinding lasers, lights and fireworks that were going off.

Albania was obscure, with two dwarfs and a 'green man' as backup dancers. If they were trying to convey some meaning, they failed, spectacularly.
England tried really really hard to win with an inspirational song. But it came across as a sad "woe is me, me, me, me myself and I" and more me me me me's than you could poke a stick at.

Iceland had a nice euro pop song, though it really didn't do anything spectacular for me.

Norway though was the crowning champion of the evening (by a record 300 points), with a tradition/pop mixed song titled Fairytale. YouTube it or do something like that, it's worth listening to.

Spain's entry was a massive disappointment, it was like they just pulled a singer off the street. Plus they were one of the big five that automatically gets in (they should have put a lot more effort into it!)

Russia's entry was good, very dark, guttural and obscure but worth listening to.

I was disappointed with Germany's song. It was very jazzy (which I liked), but they just over-sexed the visuals to try and bring in the votes (to which it didn't)


The performances as a whole - higher quality than last years, which was good for the ears. Unfortunately though, that meant less humour and funny entries.

Russia hosted a magnificent performance, costing over $50 million, used 40% of the worlds LCD TVs and was the biggest Eurovision ever hosted. A splendid array of performances were given by the host country, maybe with the exception of the 'pool performance'

Suspended above the crowd were shallow pools with clear bottoms. Girls splashed around, swam and half danced in the water with lights and visual effects that were quite amazing. The pools were then lowered into touching distance of the audience (many health and safety jokes were made) only then for the dancers/swimmers to "belly flop" onto the clear surface covered only by 1cm of water. It looked frightfully painful, but the audience seemed to enjoy it.


Overall, a fantastic event, to which I will wait with eager anticipation untill Norway 2010!